Intro -- Acknowledgments -- Contents -- Abbreviations -- List of Figures -- List of Tables -- 1 A Puzzling Evolution of Preferences: Industry Organizations in Brazil and Argentina and Mercosur's North-South Preferential Trade Agreements Agenda -- Preferential Trade Agreements, Mercosur External Negotiations, and Industry Organizations in Brazil and Argentina -- Book Overview -- References -- 2 A Theory of Trade Policy Preference Formation for Unstable Contexts: Interaction Between Distributive Incentives and Ideas -- Existing Explanations of Trade Policy Preferences and Their Limitations -- An Alternative Explanation: Distributive Incentives and Ideas -- Hypotheses and Method -- References -- 3 Brazilian Industry Organizations and the Evolution of Preferences Towards North-South PTAs -- Industry Organizations and Trade Policy in Brazil -- Origins and Structure -- A Brief Historical Overview -- Industry Skepticism Towards North-South PTA Negotiations: The FTAA and EU-Mercosur -- A Move to a Rather Favorable Preference -- References -- 4 Why Did They Change? Inside the Process of Preference Formation in Brazilian Industry Organizations (2010-2016) -- The Role of Sectors and Firms -- Sectoral Distributive Incentives -- Sectoral Stances -- Brazilian Industrial MNCs -- The Interaction Between Distributive Incentives and Ideas Comes Into Play -- A Context of Industrial Crisis and Greater Uncertainty -- The Entrepreneurial Role of CNI's International Unit -- An Unexpected Partner: The SECEX -- A New Push Amid the Questioning of Developmentalism -- Sectors Adjust -- Conclusion -- References -- 5 Brazilian Industry Organizations in Actual North-South PTA Negotiations (2016-2020) -- Negotiations Under Temer -- The Brazilian Industry in the EU-Mercosur Negotiation (2016-2018) -- Other Initiatives -- Negotiations Under Bolsonaro
The Conclusion of the EU-Mercosur Negotiation -- Support and Opposition to Other Initiatives -- Conclusion -- References -- 6 Argentine Industry Organizations and the Evolution of Preferences Towards North-South PTAs -- Industry Organizations and Trade Policy in Argentina -- Origins and Structure -- A Brief Historical Overview -- The Argentine Industry and North-South Negotiations (1997-2009) -- Between Continuity and Adjustment in the Last Decade -- References -- 7 When Ideas Reinforce Sectoral Distributive Incentives: The Formation of Preferences Within UIA (2010-2015) -- Sectoral Distributive Incentives -- Distributive Incentives and Ideas in the Process of Preference Formation -- An Increasingly Unstable Context -- Ideas Reinforce Sectoral Distributive Incentives -- The Interaction with Government Officials -- Conclusion -- References -- 8 Adjustment for EU-Mercosur, Continuity for the Rest: Explaining the Evolution of UIA's Preferences (2016-2020) -- Preference Formation During the Macri Administration (2016-2019) -- From Initial Expectations to Once Again a Context of Crisis -- A Government's Push for North-South PTAs and Industry Responses -- Sectoral-Level Interactions for EU-Mercosur and Divergences Within UIA -- Other Initiatives -- Continuity, in All Senses, During the Beginning of Alberto Fernández's Tenure (Early 2020) -- Conclusion -- References -- 9 Collective Actors' Preference Formation and Their Impact in Times of Crises and Uncertainty -- Collective Actors, Unstable Contexts, and the Study of the Distributive Incentives-Ideas Interaction -- Empirical Findings -- Implications and Extensions -- References -- Appendix I: Process Tracing Tests -- Brazil -- Results -- Component 1 -- Component 2 -- Component 3 (3.1 and 3.2) -- Conclusion -- Results -- Component 1 -- Component 2 -- Conclusion -- Results -- Component 1 -- Component 2
Component 3 -- Conclusion -- Argentina -- Results -- Component 1 -- Component 2 (2.1 and 2.2) -- Component 3 (3.1, 3.2, and 3.3) -- Conclusion -- Results -- Component 1 -- Component 2 -- Conclusion -- Results -- Component 1 -- Component 2 -- Component 3 -- Conclusion -- Appendix II -- Interviews -- Brazil -- Peak Organizations -- Sectoral Associations -- Government Officials/Diplomats -- Experts -- Argentina -- UIA -- Sectoral Chambers -- Government Officials/Diplomats -- Experts -- Trade Opportunities and Threats Analysis Methodology and Application -- References -- Index