A GPS modeling study of earthquakes and deformation in northern Central America and along the Middle America trench : 1999 to 2017

Author / Creator

Ellis, Andria Patricia, author

Available as

Online

Physical

Summary

Northern Central America is a tectonically complicated region prone to hazardous earthquakes due to the confluence of the Motagua-Polochic fault zone with the Middle America trench and strike-slip ...

Northern Central America is a tectonically complicated region prone to hazardous earthquakes due to the confluence of the Motagua-Polochic fault zone with the Middle America trench and strike-slip faults in the Central America volcanic arc. These three major fault zones converge at the western end of the Caribbean plate where the Cocos plate subducts under the North America and Caribbean plates. Literature from the 1970s and 1980s focused on whether a discrete North America-Caribbean-Cocos plate triple junction existed, and how the relative motions of the upper North America and Caribbean plates were accommodated. The discovery of a fourth major crustal block, the Central America forearc sliver, from seismic and geodetic observations made a three-plate triple junction geometrically impossible and introduced a new set of questions related to how deformation of the upper plate accommodates relative movements between the Caribbean plate, North America plate, and Central America forearc sliver where they intersect in the upper plate. My dissertation uses GPS and numerical modeling to measure and quantify earthquake transients and crustal deformation related to fault interactions in northern Central America and consists of three related chapters. The first chapter of my dissertation is a geodetic study of a Mw = 7.4 subduction zone earthquake that occurred in 2012 offshore from our Guatemala GPS (Global Positioning System) network. For this study, I inverted coseismic site offsets and postseismic amplitudes to determine best-fitting coseismic and afterslip rupture distributions on the Middle America trench. I also determined the maximum likely viscoelastic deformation for the earthquake to test whether the transient postseismic deformation was dominated by fault afterslip or viscoelastic flow. This work was published in Geophysical Journal International in January 2015. The second chapter of my dissertation derives a new 200+ site GPS velocity field for northern Central America. Doing so was complicated by the occurrence of four M>7 earthquakes since 2009, which perturbed the velocities of many of the GPS sites. To extract the interseismic velocity field from position time-series, we use TDEFNODE software to simultaneously model source parameters for coseismic rupture and transient afterslip from the 2012 El Salvador (Mw=7.3), 2012 Guatemala (Mw=7.4), and 2009 Swan Islands (Mw=7.3) earthquakes. The resulting, corrected best-fitting GPS site velocities are used in my third and final chapter. Finally, I address a variety of questions regarding several major faults that are the root of natural hazard studies in northern Central America. The 200+ site GPS velocity field derived in Chapter 2 far exceeds any previous velocity field for this region and represents a new standard for studying the tectonics of northern Central America. An inversion of the new velocity field using an eight-block elastic model gives the following unique or improved results with respect to previous work: 1) First evidence for a nearly rigid Chortis block south of the Motagua fault; 2) Evidence for southward transfer of slip from the western Motagua fault into the Guatemala City graben and other nearby normal faults; 3) A well-bounded estimate on partitioning of plate boundary slip on the Motagua and Polochic faults; 4) A first plate tectonic estimate of Cocos plate subduction below the Central America forearc sliver; 5) The first geodetic estimate of slip rate variations along the Central America volcanic arc, including the first slip rate estimate for the poorly-understood Jalpatagua fault in southern Guatemala; 6) The first geodetic estimate of distributed deformation in the Chiapas Tectonic Province; 7) Evidence for stronger locking offshore southern Mexico and even weaker shallow locking offshore Guatemala and El Salvador than previously estimated; 8) A refined estimate of how extension is distributed across the grabens of western Honduras and southern Guatemala; 9) Strain-rate tensors consistent with no significant deformation of the elongate Central America forearc sliver, but extension within the Gulf of Fonseca step-over in the Central America volcanic arc; 10) Evidence for slower slip along the Motagua fault than any previous estimate and a well-determined geodetic estimate for the long-term slip rate of the Polochic fault.

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