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Afghanistan in transition : looking beyond 2014
- Author / Creator
- Available as
- Online
- Summary
-
The withdrawal of most international troops by 2014 will have a profound and lasting impact on the country's economic and development fabric. This book explores some of these ramifications. Develop...
The withdrawal of most international troops by 2014 will have a profound and lasting impact on the country's economic and development fabric. This book explores some of these ramifications. Development progress since 2001 has been mixed. The country has recorded some major achievements such as rapid economic growth, relatively low inflation, better public financial management, and gains in basic health and education. Key social indicators, including life expectancy and maternal mortality, have improved markedly, and women are participating more in the economy. Yet in other respects, particular
Details
- Creator
- Richard Hogg, Claudia Nassif, Camilo Gomez Osorio, William Byrd, and Andrew Beath
- Format
- Books
- Language
- English
- Contributors
- Publication
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- Washington, D.C. : The World Bank, [2013]
- Series
- Physical Details
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- 1 online resource (pages cm)
- data file
- ISBNs
- 9780821398630, 0821398636, 082139861X
- OCLC
- ocn831117436
- Description based upon print version of record.
- Includes bibliographical references.
- English
- C1; C2; Contents; Preface; Acknowledgments; About the Authors; Abbreviations; Overview; Aid and the Challenge of Transition; Figures; Figure O.1 Aid Trends in Afghanistan; International Experience and Afghanistan's History; Figure O.2 External and Core Budgets, 2010/11; Assessing and Managing the Economic Effects of Transition; Figure O.3 Real and Agricultural GDP Growth since 2003/04; Figure O.4 Decomposition of Growth in GDP at Factor Cost, by Activity and Scenario, 2010/11-2018/19; Tables; Table O.1 Real Macro Indicators, by Simulation, 2010/11-2018/19
- Analyzing the Employment and Poverty Impacts of Transition Responding to the Fiscal Impact of Declining Aid; Figure O.5 Core Budget Projections to 2021/22; Figure O.6 Projected Expenditure by 2021/22; Figure O.7 Operating and Total Core Financing Gap; Boosting Government Capacity; Figure O.8 Core Operating and Development Budget Execution, 2005/06-2010/11; Delivering Services and Maintaining Infrastructure; Figure O.9 Share of EFS in Eight Ministries and One Agency, 2011; Table O.2 Budget, Donor Funding, and O&M Needs for Five Core Sectors, 2011/12; Key Conclusions and Recommendations; Note
- References Chapter 1 Lessons from History: Afghanistan and Elsewhere; Some History; International Comparisons; Table 1.1 Afghanistan's Performance Relative to the "Strong Performers" Cluster; Figure 1.1 Trends in Per Capita GDP Growth, Afghanistan and Three Clusters; Figure 1.2 Extremely High and Growing Aid Dependence; Box 1.1 Somalia's Experience; Boxes; Figure 1.3 Changes in Life Expectancy and Under-Five Mortality; Figure 1.4 Deteriorating Rule of Law and Government Effectiveness Indicators; Figure 1.5 Deteriorating Political Stability Indicator; Conclusions and Recommendations; Notes
- References Chapter 2 The Economic Impacts of Transition; The Economy; Figure 2.1 Real and Agricultural GDP Growth since 2003/04; Figure 2.2 Aid Trends in Afghanistan; Figure 2.3 Sector Growth Rates, 2003/04-2010/11; Table 2.1 Sector Shares in GDP; Figure 2.4 Sector Contribution to GDP Growth; Box 2.1 The Opium Economy; Aid Dependency; Box 2.2 Mining as a Potential Source of Growth; Figure 2.5 Aid versus GDP per Capita, Average of 2006-08; Table 2.2 Donor Assistance; Figure 2.6 Government Consumption versus GDP per Capita, Average of 2006-08; Impact of Transition on Economic Growth
- Table 2.3 Domestic Economic Content of Aid, 2010/11 Box 2.3 Overview of Scenarios and Assumptions; Table 2.4 Real Macro Indicators by Simulation, 2010/11-2018/19; Risks to Macroeconomic Stability; Figure 2.7 Decomposition of GDP at Factor Cost, by Activity and Simulation, 2010/11-2018/19; Box 2.4 Limitations of the Model; Figure 2.8 Balance of Payments, 2002/03-2010/11; Figure 2.9 Money Reserves, 2002/03-2010/11; Impact of Transition on Employment; Figure 2.10 Unemployment and Underemployment, by Province; Figure 2.11 Distribution of the Employed Population, by Economic Sector, 2007/08
- Impact of Transition on Poverty