Sovereign default, debt restructuring, and recovery rates : was the Argentinean "haircut" excessive?

Author / Creator

Edwards, Sebastian, 1953- author

Available as

Online

Summary

I use data on 180 sovereign defaults to analyze what determines the recovery rate after a debt restructuring process. Why do creditors recover, in some cases, more than 90%, while in other cases th...

I use data on 180 sovereign defaults to analyze what determines the recovery rate after a debt restructuring process. Why do creditors recover, in some cases, more than 90%, while in other cases they recover less than 10%? I find support for the Grossman and Van Huyk model of "excusable defaults": countries that experience more severe negative shocks tend to have higher "haircuts" than countries that face less severe shocks. I discuss in detail debt restructuring episodes in Argentina, Chile, Uruguay and Greece. The results suggest that the haircut imposed by Argentina in its 2005 restructuring (75%) was "excessively high." The other episodes' haircuts are consistent with the model.

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