Introduction -- Part I, A greatly exaggerated decline : the fall and rise of major powers -- America's enduring power -- The trillionaires' club -- No mortar in the BRICS -- Part II, Of rivalry and restraint : the persistence of cooperation -- Overlapping interests : transnational threats and the security of globalization -- Shaping it, not breaking it : economics, energy, and climate change -- Muddling through and missed opportunities : crisis and intervention -- Competitors, not cold warriors : U.S.-China relations -- Part III, How America can still win friends and influence history -- What lies ahead? : of scenarios and shadows -- American leadership in a fractured age