Introduction / James J. Wirtz and Peter R. Lavoy -- Japan's nuclear option / Katsuhisa Furukawa -- Will Taiwan go nuclear? / Arthur S. Ding -- Nuclear proliferation and the Middle East's security dilemma : the case of Saudi Arabia / James A. Russell -- Motivations and capabilities to acquire nuclear, biological, or chemical weapons and missiles : South Africa / Noel Stott -- Nuclear energy and the prospects for nuclear proliferation in Southeast Asia / Tanya Ogilvie-White and Michael S. Malley -- Burma and nuclear proliferation / Andrew Selth -- Hindsight and foresight in South American nonproliferation trends in Argentina, Brazil, and Venezuela / Etel Solingen -- Ukraine : the case of a "nuclear inheritor" / Isabelle Facon -- The NPT regime and the challenge of shaping proliferation behavior / Christopher A. Ford -- Leveraging proliferation shocks / Lewis A. Dunn -- Intelligence, interdiction, and dissuasion : lessons from the campaign against Libyan proliferation / Wyn Q. Bowen -- Security assurances and the future of proliferation / Bruno Tertrais -- Options and new dynamics : chemical and biological weapons proliferation in 2020 / Michael Moodie -- Conclusion / Jeffrey W. Knopf